Thursday, December 04, 2008

Oh, Canada!

My friend FKL, who lives in Canada, has recently got me very interested in a political maelstrom that's been whirling up there of late. It's gotten relatively little press coverage here in the U.S. -- at least, until the events of the last day or two. (Now it gets a tiny bit of press coverage.) Anyway, I think this is pretty fascinating stuff, so this is something of a Public Service Announcement to bring everyone up to speed.

Here's the background. There are four political parties in the Canadian parliament. This year, the party with the most seats in the parliament (the Conservatives) actually held only around 40% of the total number of seats. They governed, but did so with an overall minority -- in fact, from what I've read, the smallest minority ever in the Canadian House of Commons.

The Canadian Prime Minister is Stephen Harper, of that Conservative party. One of the powers the PM gets is that to request of the Governor General a dissolutionment of the current parliament. Basically, instead of waiting for the natural time for new elections to occur, you can get the Governor General to let you do it early. Three months ago, Harper sought the GG's approval to do just that, and it was given. (Moving the elections to this year when they would not have been scheduled to occur until next year.) This was perceived as disingenuous maneuvering by the other three parties (all varying degrees of more liberal in outlook), and began a rapid downhill slide in the political climate.

These early elections were held in October, and Stephen Harper and the Conservatives continued to hold power over the government -- but continued to do so with an overall minority in the parliament. But throughout November, they pursued an aggressive agenda that increasingly rubbed against the will of the other three parties.

Now those three parties have banded together to form their own coalition and work against the leading party. They had scheduled for there to be a vote of no confidence this coming Monday against Harper, to have him stripped of leadership. And all the indications were that the vote was going to pass, and this "revolution" of sorts would be carried out.

So preemptively, Harper invoked another bit of parliamentary gamesmanship, and asked to Governor General to agree to suspend Parliament for a month and a half. You can't vote Harper out if the Parliament is no longer convening to vote on anything.

And it gives seven weeks in which this coalition of three parties could possibly turn on itself and crumble. Which, according to some indications, it might.

I find this all interesting because all the particular machinations in this are so different from American government, due to the parliamentary system and the elements of monarchy with the Governor General. And yet, at the same time, it's all the same maneuvering and strategy that is oh-so-familiar in U.S. politics, the way that many politicians put their own continued careers so far ahead of the goal of helping prosperity in the country.

I guess there's a touch of schadenfreude here, watching another country potentially bungle things. In any case, it appears that CBCNews will be a good place to track new developments, should you want to keep up with them.

And by all means, if you're from Canada and want to share a more inside perspective here, I'd love to hear it.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

These are indeed interesting (and cynical) times in Canada. Three more things to add to the confusion that is currently happening up here (BTW, you resume of things was spot on):

- Elections in Canada (and in provinces) don't happen at a fixed date. When a new government is elected, it is for a mandate of five years maximum. It is up to the government to decide when to call new elections (usually after 3 1/2 and 4 1/2 years in power, when the polls look best for them). This is something most Canadians would like to see change, and the Conservative even passed a non-binding law about it this summer (which they promptly ignored in October...). So there is always some gamesmanship about the timing of elections here.

- The current political alignment of parties has been "regionalized" in the last 10 years, with the religious-right-leaning Conservatives being omnipresent in the Prairies, a pro-Quebec party being dominant in Quebec, and the old Liberal party having its power base in Ontario and the Maritime (see the results of the 2006 elections here

http://www.citymayors.com/pics_misc/canada_2006.jpg

). This results in a highly fractional representation which doesn't show any signs of changing soon, and parties who play along these lines (such as the latest "This is a plot of the Big Bad Quebec Separatists who want to destroy Canada".

- The provincial government in Quebec is also a minority government (for the first time in more than a century), and the Prime Minister decided to call elections at the beginning of November because it was apparently impossible to govern in face of the economic crisis (ok, it was because the polls were showing a good chance of switching to a majority government). The following campaign (which ends in elections next Monday) has been the most insignificant in my lifetime - nothing important gets discussed, people are tired of hearing about elections after the federal and U.S. ones (the U.S. elections were followed a lot over here), and now the federal crisis takes over the final week of campaigning.

All in all interesting times, but it goes to show no system is perfect.

Anonymous said...

Oops!

Forgot to sign the last post. It is mine.

Jean-Luc

Shocho said...

Everything I know about Canadian politics can be found here:

http://boardgamegeek.com/game/5863

Roland Deschain said...

I had actually just read about this yesterday myself after some prompting from friends of mine I used to work with. It just sounded like the most bizarre thing when described - but to read about it is even more intriguing.

It's like watching a chess match to see who can outwit the other first.

One question I have that I haven't seen an answer for - is the Governor General a member of one or the other of these parties? THat would make how things work out even more interesting...

Anonymous said...

Roland --

No, the GG is technically the Queen's representative in Canada.
As such, her loyalties lie with England. (!)

FKL

Roland Deschain said...

Wow. That does make things very strange. Thanks for the clarification, FKL. I'll be interested to see how this all works out!